Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 8-5-24 MLB Picks

Boston Red Sox (59-51) vs. Kansas City Royals (63-50)
August 5, 2024 8:10 pm EDT
The Line: Kansas City Royals -145 / Boston Red Sox +120; Over/Under: +9.5
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In this article we will formulate a Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Monday, August 5th at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.

Royals Won Another Series

The Kansas City Royals are 63-50 this year and they have won six of their last seven games. Kansas City is coming off of a series win against Detroit, where they won three out of four games. Prior to that series, the Royals swept the White Sox in three games, lost two out of three against the Cubs, and lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks. Kansas City is 11-5 in their last 16 games and they are third in the AL Central.

Red Sox Look to Stay Hot on the Road

The Boston Red Sox are 59-51 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Boston is coming off of a series win against Texas, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Red Sox won two out of three against the Mariners, lost two out of three against the Yankees, and lost two out of three against the Rockies. Boston is 5-4 in their last nine games and they are third in the AL East.

The Boston pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .245 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 544 runs with a .262 batting average and a .328 on base percentage. Rafael Devers is batting .305 with 25 home runs and 70 RBI’s for the Red Sox this season. Boston has allowed at least six runs in eight of their last ten games.

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Brady Singer, who is 8-6 with a 2.88 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 125.0 innings pitched this year. Singer has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is James Paxton, who is 8-3 with a 4.52 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP over 93.2 innings pitched this season. Paxton has allowed three earned runs in each of his last three starts.

Why the Royals will beat the Red Sox

The Royals have won nine of their last 10 games against American League opponents.
The Red Sox have lost each of their last six games as underdogs against AL Central opponents following a win.
The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games following a win.
The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last five night games against the Red Sox following a road win.
The Royals have led after 3 innings in each of their last four home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Red Sox’s last seven night games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Six of the Royals’ last seven games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last eight games as underdogs.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last three games as home favorites against AL East opponents.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

Bobby Witt Jr. has hit a home run in five of the Royals’ last six games as favorites against AL East opponents.
Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Royals’ last seven home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Brady Singer has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances with the Royals as favorites.
Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of the Royals’ last six night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Brady Singer has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
Kyle Isbel has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Kyle Isbel has recorded a Double in each of his last four appearances against the Red Sox after playing the previous day.
Kyle Isbel has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
Kyle Isbel has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Bobby Witt Jr. ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.344) this season.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

Jarren Duran has scored at least one run in eight of the Red Sox’s last nine road games.
Dominic Smith has recorded at least one Double in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents.
Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 15 night games against opponents that held a winning record.
Tyler O’Neill has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five road appearances against the Royals.
James Paxton has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Rafael Devers has hit a home run in three of the Red Sox’s last four games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
James Paxton has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with the Red Sox as road underdogs.
Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one Single in each of the Red Sox’s last six night games.
Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one total base in each of the Red Sox’s last 15 night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

The Kansas City Royals rank T1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (758).
The Kansas City Royals rank T1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (103).
The Boston Red Sox rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (223).
The Boston Red Sox rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (1005).

Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

Kansas City comes into this series playing very well and they have won six of their last seven games. The Royals were able to beat up on the White Sox and Tigers in their last two series, and they are 36-22 at home. Boston has been great on the road, going 32-23 this season, and they just won two out of three in Texas. The Red Sox are starting James Paxton, who has been very average in recent outings. KC is going with Brady Singer, who has been a very solid pitcher for them this year. The Red Sox are allowing a ton of runs right now and I think this Royals offense is going to have a big day. My Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox prediction is for Kansas City to win.

David Racey's Free Pick: Royals ML

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Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 8-5-24 MLB Picks | Sports Chat Place (2024)